New Data Orbital Arizona 2024 General Election Statewide Poll
Phoenix, AZ (October 29th, 2024) Data Orbital has released the results of its latest statewide, mixed mode (live caller and text to web) survey of likely General Election voters. The survey was conducted from October 26th 2024 – October 28th 2024. The survey measured support for candidates in Arizona’s Presidential and US Senate contests.
With just one week to go until the 2024 General Election, Republicans hold an edge in both the Presidential and US Senate races.
In the race for president, Republican Donald Trump leads Democratic candidate, Kamala Harris, 49.7% to 41.9%. Green Party candidate Jill Stein received 1.0% support, while Libertarian candidate Chase Oliver garnered 0.7%. An additional 6.8% of respondents were undecided or declined to answer.
In the US Senate race, Republican candidate Kari Lake holds a narrow lead over Democratic candidate Ruben Gallego, 45.2% to 44.5%. Green Party candidate Eduardo Quintana received 1.6% support, while 8.6% of respondents were undecided or declined to answer.
Pollster George Khalaf had this to say about the latest results, “With early voting in full swing and a week until election day, former President Donald Trump looks to be in a commanding position to win the state of Arizona. Republican nominee Kari Lake also looks to have closed the gap with Democratic nominee Congressman Ruben Gallego in the US Senate race. It all comes down to what the final electoral makeup looks like when voting ends at 7:00 PM on November 5th.”
This poll of 550 likely general election voters was conducted through a combination of live phone survey and text-to-web that collected 33.3% of the results from live caller landlines, 33.3% from live caller cell phones, and 33.3% via text-to-web. It had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.26% with a 95% confidence interval. Respondents were weighted on a number of different demographic figures based on prior general election voter turnout figures. The poll was conducted from October 26th 2024 – October 28th, 2024. The questions released are verbatim from the survey provided to respondents. Toplines and demographic data can be found here. Crosstabs for this survey can be found here.
FOR QUESTIONS, CONTACT:
George Khalaf | info@dataorbital.com
